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Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?

24 outcomes · ranked

$237K traded
280-299
14%
300-319
13%
260-279
12%
320-339
12%
240-259
10%
220-239
8%
340-359
8%
200-219
6%
360-379
5%
380-399
4%
180-199
3%
400-419
2%

Probability over time

last 30 days
11%280-299 · +3 pts over period14%

What this means

Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is 280-299 at 14%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 3 12:00 PM ET to November 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary re…

Resolves: Nov 10, 2026Source of truth: https://x.com/elonmusk

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