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Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

24 outcomes · ranked

$208K traded
220-239
17%
240-259
17%
200-219
14%
260-279
13%
280-299
11%
180-199
9%
300-319
7%
320-339
5%
160-179
4%
340-359
3%
360-379
2%
140-159
2%

Probability over time

last 30 days
12%220-239 · +5 pts over period18%

What this means

Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is 220-239 at 17%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary res…

Resolves: Oct 27, 2026Source of truth: https://x.com/elonmusk

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