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Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

22 outcomes · ranked

$341K traded
1000+
85%
960-999
9%
920-959
4%
880-919
2%
800-839
2%
840-879
1%
780-799
1%
720-739
0%
760-779
0%
680-699
0%
700-719
0%
740-759
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
26%1000+ · +59 pts over period85%

What this means

Across 22 outcomes, the market's favourite is 1000+ at 85%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Resolves: Nov 1, 2026Source of truth: https://x.com/elonmusk

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