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Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026?

24 outcomes · ranked

$260K traded
320-339
13%
340-359
11%
300-319
10%
360-379
9%
380-399
7%
280-299
7%
400-419
6%
420-439
5%
440-459
4%
260-279
4%
460-479
3%
580+
3%

Probability over time

last 30 days
14%320-339 · -3 pts over period11%

What this means

Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is 320-339 at 13%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 30 12:00 PM ET to November 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary res…

Resolves: Nov 6, 2026Source of truth: https://x.com/elonmusk

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