Skip to content
CultureCulturePoliticsTweet Markets

Elon Musk # tweets October 8 - October 10, 2026?

9 outcomes · ranked

$241K traded
65-89
25%
90-114
23%
115-139
21%
140-164
13%
165-189
7%
40-64
4%
190-214
3%
215-239
2%
240+
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
26%65-89 · -1 pts over period25%

What this means

Across 9 outcomes, the market's favourite is 65-89 at 25%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 8 12:00 PM ET to October 10, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary reso…

Resolves: Oct 10, 2026Source of truth: https://x.com/elonmusk

More in Culture