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Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

24 outcomes · ranked

$203K traded
180-199
22%
200-219
22%
220-239
18%
160-179
14%
240-259
11%
260-279
6%
140-159
5%
280-299
4%
300-319
1%
120-139
1%
320-339
1%
100-119
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
23%180-199 · -1 pts over period22%

What this means

Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is 180-199 at 22%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary reso…

Resolves: Oct 16, 2026Source of truth: https://x.com/elonmusk

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