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Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?

19 outcomes · ranked

$1.7M traded
180-199
49%
200-219
35%
160-179
11%
220-239
8%
240-259
1%
260-279
0%
140-159
0%
280-299
0%
300-319
0%
320-339
0%
340-359
0%
360-379
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
18%180-199 · +31 pts over period49%

What this means

Across 19 outcomes, the market's favourite is 180-199 at 49%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary…

Resolves: Sep 18, 2026Source of truth: https://x.com/elonmusk

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