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Harvey Weinstein prison time?

6 outcomes · ranked

$1.1M traded
No Prison Time
96%
30+ years
1%
20-30 years
1%
5-10 years
1%
10-20 years
0%
<5 years
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
79%No Prison Time · +17 pts over period96%

What this means

Across 6 outcomes, the market's favourite is No Prison Time at 96%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this mar…

Closed Dec 31, 2025 · awaiting resolution

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