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Highest temperature in Cape Town on October 18?

9 outcomes · ranked

$326K traded
16°C
98%
19°C or higher
1%
17°C
0%
14°C
0%
18°C
0%
15°C
0%
11°C
0%
12°C
0%
13°C
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
31%16°C · +67 pts over period98%

What this means

Across 9 outcomes, the market's favourite is 16°C at 98%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This…

Closed Oct 18, 2026 · awaiting resolutionSource of truth: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact

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