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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 23?

11 outcomes · ranked

$213K traded
33°C
92%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
26°C or below
0%
27°C
0%
28°C
0%
29°C
0%
30°C
0%
31°C
0%
32°C
0%
36°C or higher
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
21%33°C · +72 pts over period93%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is 33°C at 92%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resolves: Jul 23, 2026

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