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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?

11 outcomes · ranked

$169K traded
30°C
100%
23°C or below
0%
24°C
0%
25°C
0%
26°C
0%
27°C
0%
28°C
0%
29°C
0%
31°C
0%
32°C
0%
33°C or higher
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
22%30°C · +78 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is 30°C at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, th…

Closed Sep 3, 2026 · awaiting resolution

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