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Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 22?

11 outcomes · ranked

$127K traded
34°C or higher
100%
24°C or below
0%
25°C
0%
26°C
0%
27°C
0%
28°C
0%
29°C
0%
30°C
0%
31°C
0%
32°C
0%
33°C
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
14%34°C or higher · +86 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is 34°C or higher at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until …

Closed Jul 22, 2026 · awaiting resolution

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