Skip to content
ClimateWeatherRecurringHide From New

Highest temperature in NYC on August 17?

11 outcomes · ranked

$205K traded
80-81°F
99%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
0%
75°F or below
0%
76-77°F
0%
78-79°F
0%
88-89°F
0%
90-91°F
0%
92-93°F
0%
94°F or higher
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
7%80-81°F · +93 pts over period99%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is 80-81°F at 99%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting b…

Closed Aug 17, 2026 · awaiting resolutionSource of truth: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

More in Climate