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Highest temperature in NYC on July 16?

11 outcomes · ranked

$203K traded
88-89°F
100%
87°F or below
0%
90-91°F
0%
92-93°F
0%
94-95°F
0%
96-97°F
0%
98-99°F
0%
100-101°F
0%
102-103°F
0%
104-105°F
0%
106°F or higher
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
8%88-89°F · +92 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is 88-89°F at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to te…

Closed Jul 16, 2026 · awaiting resolutionSource of truth: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

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