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Highest temperature in NYC on September 1?

11 outcomes · ranked

$137K traded
80-81°F
100%
73°F or below
0%
74-75°F
0%
76-77°F
0%
78-79°F
0%
82-83°F
0%
84-85°F
0%
86-87°F
0%
88-89°F
0%
90-91°F
0%
92°F or higher
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
10%80-81°F · +90 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is 80-81°F at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, c…

Closed Sep 1, 2026 · awaiting resolutionSource of truth: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga

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