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Highest temperature in Paris on August 27?

11 outcomes · ranked

$163K traded
27°C
100%
29°C
0%
20°C or below
0%
21°C
0%
22°C
0%
23°C
0%
24°C
0%
25°C
0%
26°C
0%
28°C
0%
30°C or higher
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
37%27°C · +63 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is 27°C at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the lev…

Closed Aug 27, 2026 · awaiting resolutionSource of truth: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb

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