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Highest temperature in Paris on August 9?

11 outcomes · ranked

$151K traded
33°C
100%
28°C or below
0%
29°C
0%
30°C
0%
31°C
0%
32°C
0%
34°C
0%
35°C
0%
36°C
0%
37°C
0%
38°C or higher
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
27%33°C · +73 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is 33°C at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperatu…

Closed Aug 9, 2026 · awaiting resolutionSource of truth: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB

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