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Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?

11 outcomes · ranked

$151K traded
34°C
92%
35°C
8%
36°C
0%
28°C or below
0%
29°C
0%
30°C
0%
31°C
0%
32°C
0%
33°C
0%
37°C
0%
38°C or higher
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
34%34°C · +58 pts over period92%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is 34°C at 92%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and swit…

Resolves: Aug 7, 2026Source of truth: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD

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