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Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 11?

11 outcomes · ranked

$131K traded
32°C
100%
23°C or below
0%
24°C
0%
25°C
0%
26°C
0%
27°C
0%
28°C
0%
29°C
0%
30°C
0%
31°C
0%
33°C or higher
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
3%32°C · +97 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is 32°C at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °…

Closed Aug 11, 2026 · awaiting resolutionSource of truth: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT

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