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EconomyCPIEconomyInflation

July Inflation US - Monthly

9 outcomes · ranked

$131K traded
≥0.1%
72%
0.0%
28%
≤-0.7%
1%
-0.1%
0%
-0.6%
0%
-0.5%
0%
-0.4%
0%
-0.3%
0%
-0.2%
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
50%≥0.1% · +21 pts over period72%

What this means

Across 9 outcomes, the market's favourite is ≥0.1% at 72%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that w…

Resolves: Aug 12, 2026

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