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Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?

9 outcomes · ranked

$421K traded
November 16 (11:59 PM ET)
98%
November 14 (11:59 PM ET)
97%
November 13 (11:59 PM ET)
97%
November 12 (11:59 PM ET)
95%
November 11 (11:59 PM ET)
82%
November 11 (2:59 PM ET)
61%
November 10 (11:59 PM ET)
28%
November 9 (11:59 PM ET)
2%
November 8 (11:59 PM ET)
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
89%November 16 (11:59 PM ET) · +9 pts over period98%

What this means

Across 9 outcomes, the market's favourite is November 16 (11:59 PM ET) at 98%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Kai Cenat is scheduled to begin a Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, with the stated goal of playing Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Grand Theft Auto IV, and Grand Theft Auto V on stream. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Playing or completing any individual game, pauses in the livestream, or temporary breaks from gameplay will have no bearing on this market. If Kai Cenat permanently moves on from the Grand Theft Auto marathon to other activities, the marathon will be considered over at that time, even if his livestream continues uninterrupted. Only events occurring while Kai Cenat is broad…

Resolves: Nov 17, 2026Source of truth: https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat

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