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Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner

9 outcomes · ranked

$190K traded
AS
54%
SV
21%
LPV
20%
PRO
6%
NA
2%
JV
1%
ST!
0%
S
0%
ZZS
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
38%AS · +16 pts over period54%

What this means

Across 9 outcomes, the market's favourite is AS at 54%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by t…

Resolves: Oct 3, 2026

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