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Next James Bond actor?

17 outcomes · ranked

$130K traded
No Bond chosen
28%
Jack Lowden
24%
Callum Turner
16%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
5%
Theo James
5%
Jacob Elordi
4%
James Norton
4%
Henry Cavill
2%
Harris Dickinson
2%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
Tom Holland
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
8%No Bond chosen · +20 pts over period28%

What this means

Across 17 outcomes, the market's favourite is No Bond chosen at 28%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

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