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EconomyCPIUS CPIEconomy

October Inflation US - Annual

12 outcomes · ranked

$203K traded
3.7%
95%
3.6%
1%
3.8%
1%
≤3.2%
1%
4.0%
0%
3.3%
0%
3.4%
0%
3.5%
0%
3.9%
0%
4.1%
0%
4.2%
0%
≥4.3%
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
44%3.7% · +51 pts over period95%

What this means

Across 12 outcomes, the market's favourite is 3.7% at 95%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be use…

Closed Nov 11, 2026 · awaiting resolutionSource of truth: https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm

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