# of in-game deaths during Kai and Speed Minecraft marathon?
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 4 outcomes, the market's favourite is 50-69 at 45%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve according to the final value displayed on the in-game death counter on Kai Cenat's official broadcast on Twitch at the time Kai and Speed complete or end the marathon. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated. It will not matter whether Kai and Speed complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any…