OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?
3 outcomes · ranked
$279K tradedDecember 31, 2029
19%
December 31, 2028
16%
December 31, 2027
8%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31, 2029 at 19%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolves: Jan 1, 2030
More in Tech & AI
Tech & AI
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Viking Therapeutics
14%
PayPal
13%
Brown-Forman
8%
14 outcomes$18.3M vol
Tech & AI+9 pts
IPOs before 2027?
Anthropic
83%
Discord
5%
Perplexity
5%
24 outcomes$7.5M vol
Tech & AI+9 pts
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Anthropic
56%
SpaceX
38%
OpenAI
1%
12 outcomes$6.5M vol