President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
97%chance of yes
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 97% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward yes, though it's far from settled. Over the last 7 days the odds moved +5 pts.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump attends the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Attending the match is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the match. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled or postponed beyond August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolves: Jul 20, 2026