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CryptoFDVCryptoPre-Market

Probable FDV above ___ one day after launch?

8 outcomes · ranked

$154K traded
$300M
14%
$50M
11%
$100M
10%
$400M
10%
$500M
6%
$800M
5%
$200M
4%
$1B
3%

Probability over time

last 30 days
3%$300M · +11 pts over period14%

What this means

Across 8 outcomes, the market's favourite is $300M at 14%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Probable's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Probable (https://x.com/0xProbable) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolves: Jan 1, 2028

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