Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
5 outcomes · ranked
$204K tradedProbability over time
Price history isn't available for this market yet. The current probability is 65%, as of Oct 22, 2026.
What this means
Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is 25 bps increase at 65%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the cash rate target resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of Australia, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 2-3, 2026, as listed on the official RBA calendar (https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to …