Tech & AISpaceXCultureElon Musk

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

9 outcomes · ranked

$277K traded

August 31

97%

Super Heavy booster explodes?

84%

July 31

82%

Successful splash down?

72%

July 23

30%

July 20

20%

Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?

July 17

July 16

Probability over time

last 30 days

89%August 31 · +8 pts over period97%

Across 9 outcomes, the market's favourite is August 31 at 97%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13.

Resolves: Jul 31, 2026Source of truth: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vYpQwwf1XNw