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"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office

6 outcomes · ranked

$135K traded
260-280m
37%
240-260m
20%
220-240m
18%
>280m
13%
200-220m
12%
<200m
5%

Probability over time

last 30 days
25%260-280m · +12 pts over period37%

What this means

Across 6 outcomes, the market's favourite is 260-280m at 37%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (July 31 - August 2) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final…

Resolves: Aug 2, 2026Source of truth: https://www.the-numbers.com/

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