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"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?

5 outcomes · ranked

$130K traded
940 - 950m
76%
950 - 960m
14%
<940m
10%
970m+
1%
960 - 970m
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
25%940 - 950m · +51 pts over period76%

What this means

Across 5 outcomes, the market's favourite is 940 - 950m at 76%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until …

Resolves: Oct 1, 2026

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