UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
11 outcomes · ranked
$1.4M tradedO/U 0.5 Rounds
82%
O/U 1.5 Rounds
68%
Fight won by KO/TKO?
67%
Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor
66%
Holloway to win by KO/TKO?
55%
O/U 2.5 Rounds
47%
O/U 4.5 Rounds
31%
O/U 3.5 Rounds
30%
McGregor to win by KO/TKO?
28%
Fight to Go the Distance?
23%
Fight won by submission?
7%
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is O/U 0.5 Rounds at 82%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Max Holloway" if Max Holloway is officially declared the winner of the fight against Conor McGregor at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Conor McGregor" if Conor McGregor is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolves: Jul 12, 2026Source of truth: https://www.ufc.com/events