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EconomygasTrumpdiesel

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

2 outcomes · ranked

$487K traded
December 31
7%
October 31
3%

Probability over time

last 30 days
25%December 31 · -17 pts over period7%

What this means

Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31 at 7%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, the White House, a Cabinet member, an agency or department legally authorized to take such action, or an authorized representative thereof, publicly and officially announces a ban on the export of diesel from the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a "ban on the export of diesel" means a prohibition on the exportation of diesel fuel (distillate fuel oil) from the United States, whether imposed on all exports or on substantially all exports. A restriction, quota, tariff, licensing requirement, destination-specific ban, or other limitation short of an export prohibition will not qualify unless it operates as a general prohibition on diesel exports. A prohibition may qualify whether it is temporary or perma…

Resolves: Nov 1, 2026

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