Skip to content
CultureTrumpCultureMentions

What will Trump say during Cabinet Meeting?

21 outcomes · ranked

$132K traded
Venezuela
89%
Iran / Israel 10+ times
73%
Russia
73%
Fed / Federal Reserve
71%
Job 20+ times
70%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
66%
Hell 3+ times
65%
Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times
63%
Transparent
58%
Putin
55%
Transgender
52%
Coal
50%

Probability over time

last 30 days
82%Venezuela · +7 pts over period89%

What this means

Across 21 outcomes, the market's favourite is Venezuela at 89%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Trump is scheduled to hold a cabinet meeting on July 31, 2026 (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ytbAVpDBXs&t=62s). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during the cabinet meeting scheduled for July 31, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's cabinet meeting, scheduled for July 31, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Resolves: Jul 31, 2026

More in Culture