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What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?

Near certain

$219K traded

Probability over time

last 30 days
24%Yes · +76 pts over period100%

What this means

Traders currently price this at 100% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward yes, though it's far from settled. The odds have been broadly stable over the last week.

How this resolves

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas on October 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-lubbock-texas-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas on October 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Closed Oct 27, 2026 · awaiting resolutionSource of truth: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Le8TmlgiLVY

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