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What will Trump say during remarks in Michigan?

11 outcomes · ranked

$322K traded
Percent 15+ times
100%
Trump 5+ times
99%
Steel
5%
Job 20+ times
1%
Hell 7+ times
1%
Oil / Gas 10+ times
1%
Motor City
0%
Ethanol
0%
Mars
0%
Regulation
0%
USMCA / NAFTA
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
68%Percent 15+ times · +32 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is Percent 15+ times at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Trump is scheduled to deliver remarks in Michigan on July 27, 2026 (https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2026/07/23/trump-michigan-economic-speech-gordie-howe-bridge-opening/91023769007/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the listed term during remarks in Michigan scheduled for July 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's visit to Michigan, scheduled for July 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazona…

Resolves: Jul 27, 2026

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