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What will Trump say during WHCA Dinner?

19 outcomes · ranked

$241K traded
Hell 5+ times
100%
Iran 3+ times
100%
Nasty
100%
Melania
100%
Fake News
100%
Drone
100%
Biden 5+ times
78%
Six Seven
51%
Sleepy
48%
Nobel / Peace Prize
36%
Gulf of America / Gulf of Trump
31%
Tough Cookie
18%

Probability over time

last 30 days
44%Hell 5+ times · +56 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 19 outcomes, the market's favourite is Hell 5+ times at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026 (https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about the "White House Correspondents Dinner" scheduled for July 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Con…

Closed Jul 24, 2026 · awaiting resolutionSource of truth: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2EFpaUNGFeE

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