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Which artists will release a new song in 2026?

3 outcomes · ranked

$129K traded
JAY-Z
85%
Nicki Minaj
80%
Frank Ocean
33%

Probability over time

last 30 days
83%JAY-Z · +2 pts over period85%

What this means

Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is JAY-Z at 85%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new song between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date. Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, will also not count. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. For listed groups of artists, tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than the listed group name will not count toward resolution…

Resolves: Dec 31, 2026

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