Skip to content
EconomyPoliticsTechEconomy

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

17 outcomes · ranked

$196K traded
Unusual Machines
42%
Anduril
21%
Micron
17%
Anthropic
17%
TSMC
16%
Nvidia
14%
IonQ
14%
Lockheed Martin
13%
Eli Lilly
12%
Boeing
11%
OpenAI
10%
Palantir
8%

Probability over time

last 30 days
28%Unusual Machines · +14 pts over period42%

What this means

Across 17 outcomes, the market's favourite is Unusual Machines at 42%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government anno…

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027

More in Economy