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Which mobs will eliminate Kai or Speed?

22 outcomes · ranked

$139K traded
Creeper (again)
25%
Polar Bear
10%
Ghast
5%
Zombie (again)
3%
Blaze
2%
Skeleton (again)
2%
Spider (again)
1%
Hoglin
1%
Warden
1%
Pillager
1%
Piglin
1%
Zombified Piglin (again)
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
55%Creeper (again) · -30 pts over period25%

What this means

Across 22 outcomes, the market's favourite is Creeper (again) at 25%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

Kai Cenat and IShowSpeed are scheduled to stream a hardcore Minecraft marathon on August 7, 2026, at 5:00 PM ET, in which they will attempt to defeat the Ender Dragon, the Wither, the Warden, and the Elder Guardian in a hardcore Minecraft world on Java Edition, on the same seed, without either player dying in-game. For the purposes of this market, "the marathon" refers to Kai and Speed's Minecraft stream beginning on that date and continuing until they conclude or abandon it. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a death message containing the specified mob's name is displayed for either Kai or Speed following an in-game death between market creation and the end of the marathon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any death message containing the specified mob's name will count, including its plural and possessive forms, and regardless of how the mob caused the in-game death. T…

Resolves: Aug 31, 2026Source of truth: https://www.twitch.tv/kaicenat

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