Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Probability over time
last 30 daysWhat this means
Traders currently price this at 18% — the market's collective estimate that it happens. The market leans toward no. Over the last 7 days the odds moved -51 pts.
How this resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cristiano Ronaldo visibly sheds tears that can be clearly observed on his face in any photograph or video during a 2026 FIFA World Cup match for Portugal. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The 'crying' must occur while Ronaldo is on the field or the bench area; crying in the locker room or other areas will not count. This can occur before, during, or after the match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, or staged reproductions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be credible video or photographic evidence.
