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Will Tread launch a token by ___?

3 outcomes · ranked

$152K traded
December 31, 2027
79%
December 31, 2026
70%
September 30, 2026
53%

Probability over time

last 30 days
83%December 31, 2027 · -4 pts over period79%

What this means

Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31, 2027 at 79%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tread officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Tread (https://www.tread.fi/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolves: Jan 1, 2028

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