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World Cup: Nation to Reach Final

10 outcomes · ranked

$10.0M traded
France
54%
Argentina
38%
England
35%
Spain
34%
Norway
15%
Colombia
11%
Morocco
9%
Belgium
7%
Switzerland
4%
Egypt
1%

Probability over time

last 30 days
28%France · +26 pts over period54%

What this means

Across 10 outcomes, the market's favourite is France at 54%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Jul 20, 2026

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