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World Cup: Nation To Reach Semifinals

10 outcomes · ranked

$3.8M traded
France
78%
Spain
75%
England
66%
Argentina
64%
Norway
35%
Belgium
26%
Colombia
24%
Morocco
23%
Switzerland
10%
Egypt
4%

Probability over time

last 30 days
42%France · +36 pts over period78%

What this means

Across 10 outcomes, the market's favourite is France at 78%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Jul 13, 2026

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