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World Cup: No. of Matches Decided by Penalty Shootout

2 outcomes · ranked

$513K traded
5+ matches
32%
6+ matches
4%

Probability over time

last 30 days
60%5+ matches · -28 pts over period32%

What this means

Across 2 outcomes, the market's favourite is 5+ matches at 32%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves: Jul 20, 2026

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