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AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

3 outcomes · ranked

$142K traded
December 31, 2027
93%
December 31, 2026
68%
September 30, 2026
46%

Probability over time

last 30 days
59%December 31, 2027 · +34 pts over period93%

What this means

Across 3 outcomes, the market's favourite is December 31, 2027 at 93%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab, or an official representative of an eligible AI lab, announces that the lab has solved any of the qualifying Millennium Prize Problems by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The qualifying problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem, the Hodge Conjecture, and the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside resea…

Resolves: Jan 1, 2028

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