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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

24 outcomes · ranked

$5.8M traded
Harry Kane
24%
Kylian Mbappé
23%
Lionel Messi
14%
Ousmane Dembélé
14%
Michael Olise
7%
Erling Haaland
7%
Lamine Yamal
7%
Pedri
2%
Achraf Hakimi
2%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Declan Rice
1%
Jude Bellingham
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
27%Harry Kane · -3 pts over period24%

What this means

Across 24 outcomes, the market's favourite is Harry Kane at 24%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Resolves: Oct 31, 2026

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