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Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

19 outcomes · ranked

$46.3M traded
Harry Kane
53%
Lamine Yamal
39%
Lionel Messi
3%
Kylian Mbappé
2%
Rodri
1%
Michael Olise
0%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
0%
Ousmane Dembélé
0%
Erling Haaland
0%
Fabian Ruiz
0%
Jude Bellingham
0%
Vinícius Júnior
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
63%Harry Kane · -10 pts over period53%

What this means

Across 19 outcomes, the market's favourite is Harry Kane at 53%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Resolves: Jan 1, 2027Source of truth: https://www.francefootball.fr/

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