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Tech & AIAITechAI Rankings

Best AI model on August 1?

4 outcomes · ranked

$125K traded
Other
100%
claude-fable-5
0%
claude-opus-4-6
0%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
50%Other · +50 pts over period100%

What this means

Across 4 outcomes, the market's favourite is Other at 100%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. No new model will be added to this market after market creation. Any model not explicitly listed in this market will be encompassed under the "Other" option. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie s…

Resolves: Aug 1, 2026Source of truth: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

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