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Tech & AIAITechChina

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

11 outcomes · ranked

$136K traded
Alibaba
73%
Moonshot
16%
Z.ai
8%
DeepSeek
1%
Tencent
1%
Baidu
1%
ByteDance
1%
MiniMax
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
0%
StepFun
0%

Probability over time

last 30 days
58%Alibaba · +15 pts over period73%

What this means

Across 11 outcomes, the market's favourite is Alibaba at 73%. Because these are separate markets, probabilities need not sum to exactly 100%.

How this resolves

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank …

Resolves: Oct 1, 2026Source of truth: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

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